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Is The Gold Market Setting Up For A Sell-Off? 18th December 2014

Posted on December 19th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

Gold – Potential selling opportunity in Gold

The spot Gold market has shown signs of weakness this week as we can see with the bearish pin bar signal that formed Tuesday and the bearish tailed reversal bar from today. Whilst this market is looking bearish currently and we could see a move back down to $1140.00 key support, we won’t jump in right here. Notice that price retraced about halfway up Tuesday’s pin bar today, if we get a similar scenario in the next 24 hours by price retracing up today’s bearish tailed bar, we would look to sell. In other words, any strength from current levels is viewed as a potential selling opportunity to trade back down toward $1140.00 key support. Keep in mind, the average daily range of gold has been in excess of $20 on some days recently, thus any protective stop losses would need to be $25 or more wide and placed above the high of Tuesday’s pin bar.

Note: Our preferred trading platform offers tight gold spreads from 18 cents (half what most other brokers offer), to get a demo of our preferred Gold and FX broker platform, click here.

gold

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Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Forex Commentary:

In the currency markets today, the U.S. dollar gained ground against some of the other major currencies following yesterday’s Federal Reserve comments which implied that it could raise interest rates soon.

The greenback moved up to a 28-month high versus the Swiss franc. The euro fell to its lowest level against the greenback since December 8th, at $1.2266. The greenback also moved up to a one-week high against the Japanese yen to 119.30.

Other Markets:

In the U.S. markets today, stocks surged higher and extended a Federal Reserve fueled rally from yesterday. The Dow recorded its best one-day performance since December of 2011.

The Dow added 421.28 points or 2.43%, the S&P 500 gained 48.34 points or 2.40%, and the Nasdaq gained 104.08 points or 2.24%.

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 12/19/2014

Tentative: Japan – BOJ Press Conference
8:30am EST: Canada – Core CPI m/m
8:30am EST: Canada – Core Retail Sales m/m

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About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

U.S. Dollar Bullish Run Continues, 17th December 2014

Posted on December 18th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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EURUSD – Euro/dollar falls significantly lower

The EURUSD fell significantly lower today as price reversed sharply after yesterday’s move higher. Note, price didn’t quite make it back up to the key resistance level at 1.2600, this goes to show that there’s still a lot of selling interest in this market and we can continue looking for selling opportunities on any strength in the coming days.
eurusd

USDJPY – Dollar/yen surges higher

The USDJPY surged significantly higher today and as a result we can say that the low from yesterday at 115.55 marks an important near-term support level. We are obviously bullish biased on this market still, as we discussed in our December 16th commentary yesterday. We will be watching for more buying opportunities on any weakness / rotations back to support in this market in the coming days.

usdjpy

In today’s members trade setups newsletter, we will discuss in more detail our thoughts on the EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDJPY, and more. To learn about becoming a member, click here.

Latest Trading Lessons

Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Forex Commentary:

In the currency markets today, the U.S. dollar moved higher against major currencies as the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting and comments from Janet Yellen showed that the central bank was on track to lift rates next year.

The greenback surged higher against the euro and Swiss franc, hitting its highest levels against them in over a week following the Fed’s strong signal that it will raise rates sometime next year in what was a show of confidence in the U.S. economy.

The greenback also gained significant ground on the Japanese yen and other major currencies today.

Other Markets:

In the U.S. markets today, stocks surged higher as the Federal Reserve gave an upbeat assessment of the economy and also said it would be patient in lifting interest rates.

The Dow added 288.00 points or 1.69%, the S&P 500 gained 40.15 points or 2.04%, and the Nasdaq added 96.48 points or 2.12%

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 12/18/2014

4:00am EST: Euro-zone - German Ifo Business Climate
4:30am EST: Britain – Retail Sales m/m
8:30am EST: United States – Unemployment Claims
10:00am EST: United States – Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
Tentative: Japan – Monetary Policy Statement

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nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

Is This a Buying Opportunity on YEN pairs? 16th December 2014

Posted on December 17th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

USDJPY and GBPJPY – Major yen pairs pullback within broader-term uptrends

The major Japanese yen currency pairs are currently in corrective phases within broader term uptrends. In today’s commentary, we’ve provided examples of two of the more popular yen pairs, the USDJPY and GBPJPY, as we see in the charts below. Whilst we don’t know where the exact bottoms will form in these markets, we will be looking to buy on a price action signal from a key level in either market. On the charts below, note that we have marked the key support levels to watch. It could take anywhere from a week to three weeks to play out, but we will be looking to rejoin the broader-term uptrend in these markets with the confluence of a price action buy signal from key support.

USDJPY

usdjpy

GBPJPY -

gbpjpy

In today’s members trade setups newsletter, we will discuss in more detail our thoughts on the EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDJPY, GBPJPY and more. To learn about becoming a member, click here.

Latest Trading Lessons

Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Forex Commentary:

In the currency markets today, the U.S. dollar lost ground against other major currencies on expectations that the Federal Reserve will take a cautious tone on monetary policy. A slide in oil prices pushed the Russian rouble to new lows and supported the safe-haven yen.

The euro gained about 0.6 percent on the greenback today and was not far from a greater than 3-week high of $1.2569. The greenback lost about 1.04 percent to the Japanese yen today.

Other Markets:

In the U.S. markets today, stocks lost ground for a third session in a row, led by declines in consumer discretionary shares. A drop in the Russian rouble added to worries about the global economy.

The Dow lost 111.97 points or 0.65%, the S&P 500 lost 16.89 points or 0.85%, and the Nasdaq lost 57.32 points or 1.24%.

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 12/17/2014

4:30am EST: Britain – Average Earnings Index 3m/y

4:30am EST: Britain – Claimant Count Change

4:30am EST: Britain – MPC Official Bank Rate Votes

8:30am EST: Canada – Wholesale Sales m/m

8:30am EST: United States – CPI m/m

8:30am EST: United States – Core CPI m/m

2:00pm EST: United States – FOMC Economic Projections

2:00pm EST: United States – FOMC Statement

2:00pm EST: United States – Federal Funds Rate

2:30pm EST: United States – FOMC Press Conference

4:45pm EST: New Zealand – GDP q/q

Want More Trade Setups ?  I publish a members only daily trade setups newsletter which includes analysis on Forex, Indices and Commodities. For more info Click Here.
nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – December 15th – 19th 2014

Posted on December 15th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here.

EURUSD – Euro/dollar hovering just below important resistance level

The EURUSD consolidated on Friday, gaining modest ground in the process and forming an inside bar, however price stayed contained under 1.2500 resistance. If price stays contained under that 1.2500 level in the near-term, we could see this market begin falling lower again. However, if price pushes higher again and closes back above 1.2500, we could see this market continue retracing to the upside before the longer-term downtrend resumes.

eurusd

GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar drifting higher within downtrend

The GBPUSD drifted higher last week, closing the week just above the 21 day EMA resistance level as we can see in the chart below (21 EMA is the blue line). There’s a key horizontal resistance level coming in up near 1.5825 that has contained price over about the last month now. If price moves up to that resistance near 1.5825 this week, we would watch for price action sell signals to rejoin the downtrend.

gbpusd

AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar continues losing ground

The AUDUSD lost ground last week, for the fourth straight week. We can see price ended the week near the lows, and formed an inside bar. Note also, the bearish tails that formed last week as price tried to move higher, showing rejection of the 8 day EMA resistance (red line). This week, our bias has not changed, we are still bearish on this market and will continue to look to be sellers on any strength. The next key support is seen down near 0.8050 – 0.8000 area.

audusd

Gold – Gold grinding higher, but approaching key resistance

The spot Gold market has been pushing higher in recent weeks since finding support down near $1143.00. However, price is approaching a key resistance area up near $1240.00 – $1255.00 that could give this current up move some trouble. Note, this resistance area is also an event area, so if price does make it back up there in the coming days, we would consider a sell entry, as the longer-term weekly / monthly trends are still down.

gold

In this week’s members weekly trade setups newsletter, we will discuss in more detail our thoughts on the EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDJPY, Gold and more. To learn about becoming a member, click here.

Latest Trading Lessons

Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 12/14/2014

All Day: Japan - Lower House Elections

8:30pm EST: Australia - Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook

12/15/2014

7:30pm EST: Australia - Monetary Policy Meeting Minute

8:45pm EST: China - HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI

Want More Trade Setups ?  I publish a members only daily trade setups newsletter which includes analysis on Forex, Indices and Commodities. For more info Click Here.
nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

EURUSD Still Contained Below 1.2500, USDJPY Finds Support, 11th December 2014

Posted on December 12th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

EURUSD – Euro/dollar holds under 1.2500 resistance

The EURUSD lost ground today as the market rallied up to the key resistance near 1.2500 that we’ve discussed in recent commentaries, only to fall lower into the day’s close. If price stays contained under that 1.2500 level in the near-term, we could see this market begin falling lower again. However, if price pushes higher again and closes back above 1.2500, we could see this market continue retracing to the upside before the longer-term downtrend resumes.

eurusd

USDJPY – Dollar/yen gains back some lost ground

The USDJPY bounced higher today after hitting the support down near 117.35 area that we highlighted in our last commentary. If price stays buoyant above this level in the near-term, we could see the uptrend resume. However, a break back below it would probably mean another sell-off in this market as volatility is clearly high right now.

usdjpyx

In today’s members trade setups newsletter, we will discuss in more detail our thoughts on the EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, AUDUSD, and more. To learn about becoming a member, click here.

Latest Trading Lessons

Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Forex Commentary:

In the currency markets today, the U.S. dollar gained back some of the ground it lost yesterday, boosted by strong U.S. retail sales data and declining jobless claims, which pointed again to an interest rate hike next year for the world’s largest economy.

The euro dropped 0.5 percent to the greenback, to $1.2380. The greenback was also higher against the Japanese yen, gaining back 1.2 percent against it.

Other Markets:

In the U.S. markets today, stocks gained ground but gains were limited as Crude Oil fell to another five-year low and worries continued about a government shutdown.

The Dow added 63.19 points or 0.36%, the S&P 500 added 9.19 points or 0.45%, and the Nasdaq gained 24.14 or 0.52%.

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 12/12/2014

12:30am EST: China – Industrial Production y/y

8:30am EST: United States – PPI m/m

9:55am EST: United States – Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment

Want More Trade Setups ?  I publish a members only daily trade setups newsletter which includes analysis on Forex, Indices and Commodities. For more info Click Here.
nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

EURUSD Retraces Higher, USDJPY Sells-Off, 9th December 2014

Posted on December 10th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

EURUSD – Euro/dollar counter-trend rally

The EURUSD regained some lost ground over the first two trading days of this week. Overall, the downtrend is still intact in this market, but clearly we are seeing a counter-trend bullish rally currently. There’s a key resistance level / area up near 1.2500 that we will look to sell from should price rally up to it in the coming days.

eurusd

USDJPY – Dollar/yen bears flood in

The USDJPY sold-off today as bears took over this market. Clearly, the 4 hour chart pin bar buy signal that we discussed in yesterday’s commentary didn’t pan out as we would have liked. However, you can’t win every trade and trading with the trend is still the best overall approach. We will wait and see how far this market retraces to the downside and will continue watching support levels for potential buy signals to rejoin the uptrend.

usdjpy

In today’s members trade setups newsletter, we will discuss in more detail our thoughts on the EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, AUDUSD, and more. To learn about becoming a member, click here.

Latest Trading Lessons

Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Forex Commentary:

In the currency markets today, the U.S. dollar lost ground to the other major currencies as investors continued to trim bullish positions on profit-taking as the end of the year looms.

Political uncertainty in Greece spooked markets and that prompted a flight to safety which drove yields lower, that in turn pushed the dollar index off a near six-year high.

Other Markets:

In the U.S. markets today, the S&P 500 ended the day almost flat as worries about global weakness were offset by gains in tech. and energy shares.

The Dow lost 51.28 points or 0.29 percent, the S&P 500 dropped 0.49 points or 0.02 percent, and the Nasdaq gained 25.77 points or 0.54 percent.

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 12/9/2014

8:30pm EST: China – CPI y/y

12/10/2014

3:00pm EST: New Zealand – Official Cash Rate
3:00pm EST: New Zealand – RBNZ Press Conference
3:00pm EST: New Zealand – RBNZ Rate Statement
7:10pm EST: New Zealand – RBNZ Gov Wheeler Speaks
7:30pm EST: Australia – Employment Change
7:30pm EST: Australia – Unemployment Rate

Want More Trade Setups ?  I publish a members only daily trade setups newsletter which includes analysis on Forex, Indices and Commodities. For more info Click Here.
nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

Previous Posts

USDJPY 4 Hour Chart Pin Bar Buy Signal, 8th Decemer 2014

Posted on December 9th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
USDJPY 4 Hour Chart Pin Bar Buy Signal, 8th Decemer 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: USDJPY –Dollar/yen forms 4 hour pin bar buy signal in-line with uptrend The USDJPY formed another 4 hour bullish pin bar buy signal today, similar to the... Continue Reading

Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – December 8th – 12th 2014

Posted on December 8th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – December 8th – 12th 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – December 8th – 12th 2014 EURUSD - Euro/dollar ends week at multi-year lows The EURUSD lost significant ground last Friday as the downtrend... Continue Reading

AUDUSD Continues Falling From Pin Bar Sell Signal, 5th December 2014

Posted on December 6th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
AUDUSD Continues Falling From Pin Bar Sell Signal, 5th December 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar continues to get smashed The AUDUSD has lost ground for the last six days following the bearish pin bar sell signal that we discussed... Continue Reading

USDJPY Continues Higher, Gold Update, 4th December 2014

Posted on December 5th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
USDJPY Continues Higher, Gold Update, 4th December 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: USDJPY – Dollar/yen pin bar fakey signal sees higher prices The USDJPY moved higher again today but did back off its highs into the day’s close, putting... Continue Reading

EURUSD and AUDUSD Fall to Fresh Multi-Year Lows, 3rd December 2014

Posted on December 4th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
EURUSD and AUDUSD Fall to Fresh Multi-Year Lows, 3rd December 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: EURUSD – Euro/dollar continues losing ground The EURUSD continued lower today and fell to two-year lows as the downtrend rolls on. At the risk of sounding... Continue Reading

USDJPY Continues Higher from Fakey – Pin Bar Pattern, 2nd December 2014

Posted on December 3rd, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
USDJPY Continues Higher from Fakey – Pin Bar Pattern, 2nd December 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: USDJPY – Dollar/yen higher from pin bar fakey combo signal The USDJPY pushed higher today as the 4 hour bullish fakey pin bar combo pattern that we... Continue Reading

Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – December 1st – 5th 2014

Posted on December 1st, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – December 1st – 5th 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – December 1st - 5th 2014 EURUSD - Euro/dollar weakness persists Following up on our November 27th commentary, we can see the EURUSD continued to... Continue Reading

Gold Sells Off, USDJPY Bullish Trend Continues, 28th November 2014

Posted on November 29th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Gold Sells Off, USDJPY Bullish Trend Continues, 28th November 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: Gold – Spot Gold sells off after stalling at resistance Recently in our members trade setups newsletter, we discussed the inside bar stall pattern that... Continue Reading

More Losses Potentially in Store for EURUSD, 27th November 2014

Posted on November 28th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
More Losses Potentially in Store for EURUSD, 27th November 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: EURUSD – Euro/dollar bearish bias remains The EURUSD is a sell whilst under 1.2600 resistance. We can see bearish tailed bars / sell signals on the daily... Continue Reading

Waiting for GBPUSD Sell Signal from Key Resistance Area, 25th November 2014

Posted on November 26th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Waiting for GBPUSD Sell Signal from Key Resistance Area, 25th November 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: GBPUSD - Sterling/dollar still consolidating, but firms up slightly As we mentioned in this week’s weekly price action outlook, the GBPUSD has been... Continue Reading

Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – November 24th – 28th 2014

Posted on November 24th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – November 24th – 28th 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – November 24th – 28th 2014 EURUSD - Euro/dollar falls from 1.2600 resistance The EURUSD fell significantly lower on Friday as price rotated down... Continue Reading

Could Crude Oil Bounce From The $74 Level Here? 20th November 2014

Posted on November 21st, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Could Crude Oil Bounce From The $74 Level Here? 20th November 2014
Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: Crude Oil – Crude Oil hits strong long-term support level The Crude Oil market has hit a key long-term support area down near 74.00 – 75.00 and it appears to be holding here as price has bounced aggressively on each recent test. Note, the multiple inside... Continue Reading

NZDUSD Inside Pin Bar Sell Signal, 18th November 2014

Posted on November 19th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
NZDUSD Inside Pin Bar Sell Signal, 18th November 2014
Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: NZDUSD – Kiwi/dollar inside pin bar from resistance The NZDUSD hit key resistance up near 0.7975 today before once again backing off the highs and reversing lower into the day’s close, showing rejection of that resistance. If bears take over this market... Continue Reading

Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – November 17th – 21st 2014

Posted on November 17th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – November 17th – 21st 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – November 17th – 21st 2014 EURUSD - Euro/dollar shows strength late last week The EURUSD seems to have found some support down near 1.2350 -... Continue Reading

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