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Waiting for GBPUSD Sell Signal from Key Resistance Area, 25th November 2014

Posted on November 26th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar still consolidating, but firms up slightly

As we mentioned in this week’s weekly price action outlook, the GBPUSD has been consolidating within a tight range as of late. Today, it showed some resiliency by rejecting lower prices and ending the day up near the top of its recent range. Should this continue, and price pushes higher, up toward the key resistance level and 50% retrace level near 1.5875 – 1.5900 area, we would look to be sellers near there, ideally on a 4 hour or daily chart price action sell pattern.

gbpusd

In today’s members trade setups newsletter, we will discuss in more detail our thoughts on the EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD and more. To learn about becoming a member, click here.

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Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Forex Commentary:

In the currency markets today, the Australian dollar hovered at a 4-year low after losing significant ground as it was apparently singled out by sellers in an otherwise aimless currency market just ahead of the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday.

The Aussie dollar fell nearly a full U.S. cent and hit a low not seen since July 2010.

The euro gained modest ground against the greenback today as investors unwound bearish positions for a second session.

The greenback was also lower against most of the other majors today except the kiwi dollar which it gained modestly on.

Other Markets:

In the U.S. markets today, stocks ended the day little changed as the U.S. economy expanded more than expected last quarter but weak readings on consumer confidence and house prices, kept major indexes in tight ranges.

The Dow lost 2.96 points or 0.02%, the S&P 500 lost 2.38 points or 0.12%, and the Nasdaq added 3.36 or 0.07%.

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 11/26/2014

4:30am EST: Britain – Second Estimate GDP q/q

8:30am EST: United States – Core Durable Goods Orders m/m

8:30am EST: United States – Unemployment Claims

10:00am EST: United States – New Home Sales

4:45pm EST: New Zealand – Trade Balance

7:30pm EST: Australia – Private Capital Expenditure q/q

Membership Special Note - During November Get 25% Off Life-Time Membership To Nial's Forex Courses, Daily Trade Setups Newsletter, Live Trading Forum & Email Support Line - Click Here.
nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – November 24th – 28th 2014

Posted on November 24th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – November 24th – 28th 2014

EURUSD – Euro/dollar falls from 1.2600 resistance

The EURUSD fell significantly lower on Friday as price rotated down from the resistance we’ve discussed in recent commentaries up near 1.2600. Price will now face support near 1.2355 this week and if it can break through that we could see the downtrend continue. We remain bearish biased and any strength is seen as a potential selling opportunity in this market.

eurusd

GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar consolidates, downtrend intact

The GBPUSD consolidated all last week and rotated slightly lower. We can see price is still contained just below the 8 day EMA resistance level. 1.5875 is still a key resistance level that we will look to sell from if price rallies back up to it in the coming days. But for now, we are in ‘hurry up and wait mode’ in this market until price breaks out from this current consolidation / choppiness.

gbpusd

AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar stays contained below resistance

The AUDUSD rotated lower last week after hitting a high of 0.8795 for the week. Price made a modest comeback on Friday as it pushed higher following Thursday’s bullish pin bar. However, price is sort of just in ‘no man’s land’ right now, trading between 0.8795 resistance and key support down near 0.8540. At this point, we are viewing any rallies back to resistance levels as potential selling opportunities, pending a price action confirmation signal. But, until that happens we are staying on the sidelines.

audusd

USDJPY –  Dollar/yen uptrend showing no signs of slowing down

The USDJPY rotated slightly lower on Friday. We would prefer to see a price action buy signal on the 4 hour or daily chart following a bit of a deeper move lower this week, into the 8 / 21 day EMA support layer, to rejoin the uptrend from value. The general outlook on this market is still to look to be buyers on any weakness, as we don’t want to fight this uptrend.

usdjpy

In this week’s members weekly trade setups newsletter, we will discuss in more detail our thoughts on the EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDJPY, Crude Oil and more. To learn about becoming a member, click here.

Latest Trading Lessons

Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 11/24/2014

4:00am EST: Euro-zone – German Ifo Business Climate
8:00pm EST: Japan – BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks
11:45pm EST: Japan – BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks

Membership Special Note - During November Get 25% Off Life-Time Membership To Nial's Forex Courses, Daily Trade Setups Newsletter, Live Trading Forum & Email Support Line - Click Here.
nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

Could Crude Oil Bounce From The $74 Level Here? 20th November 2014

Posted on November 21st, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

Crude Oil – Crude Oil hits strong long-term support level

The Crude Oil market has hit a key long-term support area down near 74.00 – 75.00 and it appears to be holding here as price has bounced aggressively on each recent test. Note, the multiple inside bars on the daily chart time frame that have broken to the upside, this is encouraging for bulls. We see two potential plays here off this key support level: Traders can look for a price action buy signal as ‘confirmation’ for a long entry between 74.00 and 75.00, or more aggressive traders may simply elect to buy on weakness within this support zone, without waiting for a signal.

oil

NZDUSD – Kiwi/dollar falls lower from inside pin bar

The NZDUSD moved lower on Wednesday following the inside pin bar sell signal that we discussed in our November 18th commentary. Today, price fell lower initially but reversed losses into the close to end the day up slightly. Traders who shorted from this signal made good money or should consider covering their shorts now as price did throw in a bullish tailed reversal bar and this market could go either way

nzdusd

In today’s members trade setups newsletter, we will discuss in more detail our thoughts on the EURUSD, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, USDJPY, Gold, Crude Oil and more. To learn about becoming a member, click here.

Latest Trading Lessons

Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Forex Commentary:

In the currency markets today, the U.S. dollar backed away from seven-year highs against the Japanese yen, just shy of 119.00 yen.

The greenback was little changed against most of the other majors today, the euro lost about 0.1 percent to the dollar today, with the EURUSD ending at $1.2538, down from $1.2552 yesterday.

Other Markets:

In the U.S. markets today, the Dow and S&P 500 ended at record highs following data that showed continued strength in the U.S. economy.

The Dow added 33.27 points today or 0.19%, the S&P 500 gained 4.03 points or 0.20%, and the Nasdaq added 26.16 points or 0.56 percent.

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 11/21/2014

3:00am EST: Euro-zone – ECB President Draghi Speaks

8:30am EST: Canada – Core CPI m/m

Membership Special Note - During November Get 25% Off Life-Time Membership To Nial's Forex Courses, Daily Trade Setups Newsletter, Live Trading Forum & Email Support Line - Click Here.
nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

NZDUSD Inside Pin Bar Sell Signal, 18th November 2014

Posted on November 19th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

NZDUSD – Kiwi/dollar inside pin bar from resistance

The NZDUSD hit key resistance up near 0.7975 today before once again backing off the highs and reversing lower into the day’s close, showing rejection of that resistance. If bears take over this market here, we could potentially see price rotate lower from today’s bearish inside pin bar sell signal, as price has now hit the top of this trading range between 0.7700 support and 0.7975 / 0.8035 key resistance area.

nzdusd

In today’s members trade setups newsletter, we will discuss in more detail our thoughts on the EURUSD, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, Gold and more. To learn about becoming a member, click here.

Latest Trading Lessons

Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Forex Commentary:

In the currency markets today, the U.S. dollar lost ground to the euro following a better than expected survey of German sentiment.

The greenback held steady against the Japanese yen after Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said he would hold an early election to seek a fresh mandate for his economic policies.

Other Markets:

In the U.S. markets today, the Dow and S&P 500 ended at record highs, lifted by continued gains in healthcare shares and hopes of a stronger global economy.

The Dow added 40.07 points or 0.23%, the S&P 500 added 10.48 points or 0.51%, and the Nasdaq added 31.44 points or 0.67%.

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 11/19/2014

Tentative: Japan – BOJ Press Conference

4:30am EST: Britain – MPC Official Bank Rate Votes

8:30am EST: United States – Building Permits

2:00pm EST: United States – FOMC Meeting Minutes

4:45pm EST: New Zealand – PPI Input q/q

8:45pm EST: China – HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI

Membership Special Note - During November Get 25% Off Life-Time Membership To Nial's Forex Courses, Daily Trade Setups Newsletter, Live Trading Forum & Email Support Line - Click Here.
nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – November 17th – 21st 2014

Posted on November 17th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here.

Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – November 17th – 21st 2014

EURUSD – Euro/dollar shows strength late last week

The EURUSD seems to have found some support down near 1.2350 – 1.2400 over the last couple of weeks. The longer-term trend is still down as we can see on the weekly chart below. However, given the recent strength we’ve seen down near 1.2400, it wouldn’t be surprising to see price retrace to the upside in the coming days. If that happens, we will watch resistance up near 1.2770 – 1.2885 for price action sell signals, as price may rally back up to that area before the downtrend resumes.

eurusd

GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar downtrend intact, looking to sell on strength

The GBPUSD lost significant ground last week, but it did pare some of its losses into the close on Friday. The downtrend is obviously still intact here, but we could see a retrace higher this week before price falls lower again. If that happens, we will watch resistance up near the 8 / 21 day EMA layer and 1.5875 – 1.5950 resistance zone for price action sell signals to rejoin the downtrend from value.

gbpusd

AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar moves back into trading range

The AUDUSD moved higher last week and re-entered its previous trading range between 0.8650 support and 0.8900 key resistance. We saw a rather volatile day last Friday with price losing ground early on, but then reversing losses to end the day slightly higher, but backing off the highs into the close. Price closed the last three days near 0.8720 and for now, it appears happy to consolidate near that level. This week, we are in ‘hurry up and wait mode’ in this market and the key levels to watch are 0.8650 support and 0.8900 resistance.

audusd

USDJPY – Dollar/yen uptrend continues

The USDJPY broke higher on Friday from the inside bars we discussed in our commentary from last Thursday. However, price did pare some of its gains into Friday’s close. This week, we will watch the price action and see what unfolds, the trend is obviously still bullish, so we are bullish biased and anyone not already long can continue looking for buy signals from value if price retraces lower.

usdjpy

In this week’s members weekly trade setups newsletter, we will discuss in more detail, our thoughts on the EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDJPY, Gold and more. To learn about becoming a member, click here.

Latest Trading Lessons

Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 11/16/2014

4:45PM EST: New Zealand - Retail Sales q/q

6:50pm EST: Japan – Prelim GDP q/q

11/17/2014

9:00am EST: Euro-zone – ECB President Draghi Speaks

7:30pm EST: Australia – Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

Membership Special Note - During November Get 25% Off Life-Time Membership To Nial's Forex Courses, Daily Trade Setups Newsletter, Live Trading Forum & Email Support Line - Click Here.
nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

GBPUSD Price Action Update, 14th November 2014

Posted on November 15th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here.

Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar continues losing ground

The GBPUSD lost significant ground this week but today it did pare some of its losses into the close. The downtrend is obviously still intact here, but we could see a retrace higher next week before price falls lower again. If that happens, we will watch resistance up near the 8 / 21 day EMA layer and 1.5875 – 1.5950 resistance zone for price action sell signals to rejoin the downtrend from value.

gbpusd

In today’s members trade setups newsletter, we will discuss in more detail our thoughts on the EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDJPY, Gold and more. To learn about becoming a member, click here.

Latest Trading Lessons

Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Forex Commentary:

In the currency markets today, the U.S. dollar pared strong early-session gains and ended the day lower against the euro as the common currency gained ground on short-covering and a drop in U.S. bond yields.

The euro gained ground for the first week in four weeks and last traded at $1.2519, gaining about 0.40 percent on the day.

The Japanese yen moved to a 7-year low against the greenback at 116.82 following the release of U.S. data but backed off those lows into the day’s close.

Other Markets:

In the U.S. markets today, stocks posted their fourth consecutive week of gains, but ended today mostly unchanged as healthcare losses offset gains in energy shares.

The Dow lost 18.05 points or 0.10%, the S&P 500 gained 0.49 points or 0.02%, and the Nasdaq added 8.40 points or 0.18%.

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 11/16/2014

4:45PM EST: New Zealand - Retail Sales q/q

6:50pm EST: Japan – Prelim GDP q/q

11/17/2014

9:00am EST: Euro-zone – ECB President Draghi Speaks

7:30pm EST: Australia – Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

Membership Special Note - During November Get 25% Off Life-Time Membership To Nial's Forex Courses, Daily Trade Setups Newsletter, Live Trading Forum & Email Support Line - Click Here.
nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

Previous Posts

USDJPY Potential Inside Bar Breakout, AUDUSD Stalls, 13th November 2014

Posted on November 14th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
USDJPY Potential Inside Bar Breakout, AUDUSD Stalls, 13th November 2014
Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: USDJPY –Dollar/yen setting up for potential inside bar breakout The USDJPY consolidated again today and formed another inside bar in the process. We can see coiling inside bars have formed over the last few days as this market continues to ‘wind up’... Continue Reading

EURUSD Stays Under 1.2500, Forms Inside Bar, 12th November 2014

Posted on November 13th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
EURUSD Stays Under 1.2500, Forms Inside Bar, 12th November 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: EURUSD – Euro/dollar inside bar just below resistance The EURUSD stayed contained under the 1.2500 resistance level today that we discussed in yesterday’s... Continue Reading

EURUSD Contained Under Resistance, NZDUSD Update, 11th November 2014

Posted on November 12th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | 1 Comment
EURUSD Contained Under Resistance, NZDUSD Update, 11th November 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: EURUSD – Euro/dollar retraces, but stays contained under resistance The EURUSD retraced higher today, hitting resistance up near 1.2500 before ending the... Continue Reading

Kiwi / Dollar Sell Signals Continue, 10th November 2014

Posted on November 11th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Kiwi / Dollar Sell Signals Continue, 10th November 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: NZDUSD – Kiwi/dollar forms pin bar sell signal at resistance The NZDUSD formed a bearish pin bar sell signal today after moving up into the resistance /... Continue Reading

Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – November 10th – 14th 2014

Posted on November 10th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | 1 Comment
Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – November 10th – 14th 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – November 10th – 14th 2014 EURUSD - Euro/dollar downtrend intact, looking to sell strength The EURUSD rotated higher last Friday, ending the day... Continue Reading

AUDUSD Hits Resistance, Forms 4 Hour Pin Bar, 7th November 2014

Posted on November 8th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
AUDUSD Hits Resistance, Forms 4 Hour Pin Bar, 7th November 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar retraces up to resistance, forms pin bar The AUDUSD moved higher today but stayed contained under near-term resistance at 0.8650 that... Continue Reading

NZDUSD and AUDUSD Remain Sells as Bears Step on the Gas, 6th November 2014

Posted on November 7th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
NZDUSD and AUDUSD Remain Sells as Bears Step on the Gas, 6th November 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: NZDUSD – Kiwi/dollar breaks down through support as downtrend continues The NZDUSD lost more ground today, breaking and closing below key support near... Continue Reading

AUDUSD Yielding Profits As Downtrend Continues, 5th November 2014

Posted on November 6th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
AUDUSD Yielding Profits As Downtrend Continues, 5th November 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar continues losing ground, closes below key support The AUDUSD fell significantly lower today and broke and closed below the key... Continue Reading

Potential EURUSD Selling Opportunity Setting Up, 4th November 2014

Posted on November 5th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Potential EURUSD Selling Opportunity Setting Up, 4th November 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: EURUSD – Euro/dollar approaching potential sell area We remain short biased on the EURUSD and we can see it made a fresh low in this downtrend last Friday... Continue Reading

Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – November 3rd – 7th 2014

Posted on November 3rd, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | 3 Comments
Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – November 3rd – 7th 2014
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – November 3rd - 7th 2014 EURUSD - Euro/dollar rotates down to support as downtrend continues The EURUSD continued falling lower on Friday and broke... Continue Reading

USDJPY Explodes Higher Following Bank of Japan Surprise, 31st October 2014

Posted on November 1st, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | 1 Comment
USDJPY Explodes Higher Following Bank of Japan Surprise, 31st October 2014
Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. USDJPY – Dollar / Yen Explodes higher as uptrend continues The USDJPY moved aggressively higher today and hit its highest level since December 31st 2007... Continue Reading

AUDUSD Still Contained Under Key Resistance, Gold Update, 30th October 2014

Posted on October 31st, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | 1 Comment
AUDUSD Still Contained Under Key Resistance, Gold Update, 30th October 2014
Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar still stuck in range, reverses at resistance Since we last discussed the AUDUSD it has moved higher and tested the key resistance... Continue Reading

U.S. Dollar Strength Resumes after FOMC Statement, 29th October 2014

Posted on October 30th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
U.S. Dollar Strength Resumes after FOMC Statement, 29th October 2014
Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: EURUSD – Euro/dollar falls significantly lower following Fed meeting The EURUSD reversed dramatically today, selling-off mid-day during the New York session after the Federal Reserve policy meeting announcement was released. As we’ve been talking about... Continue Reading

EURJPY Higher From Fakey Buy Signal, EURUSD Update, 28th October 2014

Posted on October 29th, 2014 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
EURJPY Higher From Fakey Buy Signal, EURUSD Update, 28th October 2014
Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here. EURJPY – Euro/yen pushes higher from fakey pin bar buy signal The EURJPY continued pushing higher today following the fakey pin bar buy signal that we... Continue Reading

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