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EURUSD Fakey Sell Signal, USDJPY and S&P Pin Bar Buy Signals, 26th March...

Posted on March 27th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

EURUSD – Euro/dollar fakey sell signal at resistance

The EURUSD moved up just beyond 1.1050 today, hitting a high of 1.1052 before reversing into the day’s close and forming a bearish fakey sell signal. Note, we have been talking about waiting for a sell signal between 1.1050 -1.1100 this week and today we see one has formed. Ideally, we would enter on a small retrace higher, perhaps closer to 1.0950 or 1.1000 if price retraces a bit, but either way we have a daily chart sell signal off the resistance zone we’ve been discussing, in-line with the downtrend that could lead to a continuation of the trend / more downward price movement.

eurusd

USDJPY – Dollar/yen pin bar buy signal at support

The USDJPY did form a bullish pin bar today from support down near 118.30 that we’ve been talking about in our members trade setups newsletter this week. Anyone trading this would need a stop loss below the low of today’s bar, so a more ideal entry would be near the 50% retrace of the pin, IF price retraces that is.

usdjpy

S&P 500 – SP500 pin bar buy signal

The SP500 formed a bullish pin bar buy signal today after moving briefly below the 2040.00 key support level that we discussed in our March 25th commentary. We could see price move higher from this pin bar in the coming days. Ideally, an entry would be taken on a retrace of the pin bar however, if possible down near 2040.00.

sp500

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Forex Commentary:

In the currency markets today, the U.S. dollar was on track for its biggest one-day gain versus the euro in a week as the uptrend resumed for the greenback. The euro lost about 0.79 percent to the greenback today.

The U.S. dollar lost slight ground to the Japanese yen after recouping much of its early-session losses.

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 3/27/2015

8:30am EST: United States – Final GDP q/q
3:45pm EST: United States – Fed Chair Yellen Speaks

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About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

EURUSD Nears Potential Sell Area, S&P 500 Potential Buy Area, 25th March...

Posted on March 26th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

EURUSD – Euro / dollar approaching sell-zone

The EURUSD moved slightly higher today as price consolidated within the range of yesterday’s bar, forming an inside bar. We are still looking to sell between 1.1050 – 1.1100 on a price action sell signal or on a blind sell entry closer to 1.1100 key resistance.

eurusd

S&P 500 – S&P500 Index approaching potential buy area

This SP500 moved lower today but we are holding our previous bias and looking to buy near 2040.00 on a 4 hour or daily chart price action buy signal. Notice, there’s a zone of support down between 2040.00 – 2020.00 that we will watch for buy signals if price continues to retrace lower in the coming days.

sp500

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Forex Commentary:

In the currency markets today, the U.S. dollar dropped against a basket of other major currencies following weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data and a strong survey of German business morale.

The euro moved above $1.1000 for a second straight day as the recent U.S. dollar rally continued its pause.

Other Markets:

In the U.S. markets today, stocks lost significant ground as a slump in technology and biotechs sent the Nasdaq to its biggest decline in almost a year. The S&P 500 dropped through key support levels.

The Dow lost 292.60 points or 1.62%, the S&P 500 lost 30.45 points or 1.46%, and the Nasdaq lost 118.21 points or 2.37%

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 3/26/2015

5:30am EST: Britain – Retail Sales m/m
8:30am EST: United States – Unemployment Claims
9:30am EST: Canada – BOC Gov Poloz Speak
1:00pm EST: Switzerland – Gov Board Member Zurbrugg Speaks

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About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

Key Levels to Watch on EURUSD and Crude Oil This Week, 23rd March 2015

Posted on March 24th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

EURUSD – Euro/dollar bearish bias remains

The EURUSD is still contained under the key resistance level up near 1.1100 that we talked about yesterday. There are really two ways we can look to play the euro this week: For more aggressive traders, you can look to sell near 1.1100 on a blind entry, and for more conservative traders, you might wait for a price action sell signal on the 1 hour, 4 hour or daily charts between 1.1050 – 1.1100 as ‘confirmation’ to jump in short. Overall, the trend is still down and we remain bearish on this market.

eurusd

Crude Oil – Crude Oil moves higher

Crude Oil is currently looking sideways, and we don’t have a bearish or bullish bias at the moment, but we thought we would give some levels you can potentially look to trade from. Note that there was a false break through 44.00 as price tried to continue lower but surged higher just after breaking those lows near 43.50. Thus, we see a potential buy area down between 44.50 – 43.50 and price could potentially drift back up to 54.00 resistance. If that happens, traders could look to sell near 54.00 – 54.20 key resistance. Keep in mind, crude oil is typically a market for more advanced traders, so be careful if you are new to it.

oil

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Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Forex Commentary:

In the currency markets today, the U.S. dollar lost ground for a second session in a row versus a basket of major currencies as investors unwound long dollar positions following a less aggressive timetable for interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.

The euro gained about 1.31 percent versus the greenback at $1.0944, the greenback was down about 0.24 percent against the Japanese yen at 119.69 yen.

Other Markets:

In the U.S. markets today, stocks moved lower following strong gains recently, as investors considered fluctuations in the dollar and its effect on markets.

The Dow lost 11.61 points or 0.06 percent, the S&P 500 lost 3.68 points or 0.17 percent, and the Nasdaq lost 15.44 points or 0.31 percent.

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 3/23/2015

9:45pm EST: China – HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI

3/24/2015

4:00am EST: Eurozone – French Flash Manufacturing PMI
4:30am EST: Eurozone – German Flash Manufacturing PMI
5:30am EST: Britain – CPI y/y
8:30am EST: United States – CPI m/m
8:30am EST: United States – Core CPI m/m
5:45pm EST: New Zealand – Trade Balance

March Membership Special:  This Month Get 25% Off Nial Fuller's Forex Course, Daily Trade Setups Video Newsletter, Live Trading Forum & Support Line, Ends March 31st - Join Here.
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About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

Weekly Forex Trade Setups Preview – March 23th – 27th 2015

Posted on March 23rd, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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EURUSD – Euro / dollar potential selling opportunity between 1.1100 – 1.1000

The EURUSD remains contained under the key resistance area up between 1.1100 to 1.1000. This week, we will look to sell if price moves up to that resistance, in order to rejoin the downtrend. Traders can look for a price action sell signal there or even consider a blind entry as there is a huge area of containment / resistance up between 1.1100 – 1.1000.

eurusd

GOLD – Gold retracing, looking to sell from resistance

Gold retraced higher late last week, but the trend is still down overall and we are still bearish biased. Traders can look to sell around 1200.00 – 1220.00 but wait for a price action sell signal as ‘confirmation’ before jumping in.

gold

S&P500 – S&P 500 U.S. stock index remains bullish

The S&P 500 pushed higher last week and the overall uptrend is still clearly intact. Thus, we are looking to buy pullbacks this week on a daily or 4 hour chart buy signal. Note, key support is down between 2060.00 – 2040.00 and whilst price is above that zone we are looking to buy this week.

sp500

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Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 3/23/2015

10:00am EST: Eurozone – ECB President Draghi Speaks
9:45pm EST: China – HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI

March Membership Special:  This Month Get 25% Off Nial Fuller's Forex Course, Daily Trade Setups Video Newsletter, Live Trading Forum & Support Line, Ends March 31st - Join Here.
nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

EURUSD Sells Off, USDJPY Pushes Higher from Pin Bar Signals, 19th March 2015

Posted on March 20th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here

Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

EURUSD – Euro/dollar sells off following intraday pin bar signal

The EURUSD sold off today following the 1 hour pin bar sell signal that we discussed in our March 18th commentary. Notice that price did retrace modestly higher just before falling away from this pin bar. Hopefully, some of you caught this one as it was a nice obvious signal in-line with the overall downtrend in this market.

eurusd1hr

USDJPY – Dollar/yen surges higher from pin bar buy signal

The USDJPY surged higher today after retracing to just below the 50% level of yesterday’s 1 hour pin bar buy signal that we discussed in our March 18th commentary. Anyone who entered near that 50% level easily got a 1:2 risk reward following today’s surge higher, a 1:3 was even possible. On trades like these when the market is volatile, don’t be greedy and try holding it forever; if you get up 1:2 or 1:3 risk reward, take it off the table.

usdjpy1hr

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Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Forex Commentary:

In the currency markets today, the U.S. dollar gained back yesterday’s lost ground as investors remained bullish on the greenback following a significantly more cautious Federal Reserve statement on interest rates than most expected.

The euro was down about 1.8% against the greenback today, at $1.0670 after moving above $1.1000 on Wednesday.

Other Markets:

In the U.S. markets today, another drop in oil prices kept the stock market under pressure as major indexes gave up their gains from yesterday.

The Dow dropped 117.16 points or 0.6 percent, the S&P 500 lost 10.23 points or 0.5 percent, and the Nasdaq gained 9.55 points or 0.2 percent.

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 3/19/2015

10:10pm EST: Australia – RBA Gov Stevens Speaks

3/20/2015

8:30am EST: Canada – Core CPI m/m
8:30am EST: Canada – Core Retail Sales m/m
11:35am EST: Japan – BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks

March Membership Special:  This Month Get 25% Off Nial Fuller's Forex Course, Daily Trade Setups Video Newsletter, Live Trading Forum & Support Line, Ends March 31st - Join Here.
nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

Strong Signals on EURUSD and USDJPY Pairs after FOMC, 18th March 2015

Posted on March 19th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here

Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

EURUSD – Euro/dollar intraday pin bar sell signal

The EURUSD put in a huge move higher today that rejected 1.1000 and resistance just above the 21 day EMA. The daily chart has shown rejection of that 21 day EMA that we have talked about recently and we are sticking with our bearish bias on this market. We can see a large 1 hour pin bar sell signal formed during the U.S. session today and due to its large size the preferred entry strategy is waiting for a retrace in order to better manage our risk. We will look to sell perhaps near the 50% level of this pin bar or just below, to sell this market in-line with the downtrend.

eurusd

1 hour chart showing pin bar sell signal that formed today. We are looking to sell on a retrace of the pin bar’s tail.

eurusd1hr

USDJPY – Dollar/yen intraday pin bar buy signal

We’ve been talking about buying the USDJPY between 120.50 – 119.35 support zone recently, and we can see today we have a clear 1 hour pin bar buy signal in this market, that rejected support down at 119.35. If you’re not already long from this signal, the entry strategy of choice is to wait for another pullback toward 119.35 or for another intraday buy signal whilst above that level to get long in-line with the uptrend.

usdjpy

1 hour chart showing the pin bar buy signal that formed today. Those of you not already long can look to buy again if price retraces whilst above 119.35.

usdjpy1hr

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Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Forex Commentary:

In the currency markets today, the U.S. dollar had its worst daily loss since March 18, 2009, and the euro climbed above $1.10.

The greenback had its worst one-day loss against the euro and sterling in six years, at one point losing as much as 3% versus the euro.

The U.S. dollar also lost significant ground to the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars. The Aussie was up about 2.5% on the greenback today, to $0.7780.

Other Markets:

In the U.S. markets today, stocks ended significantly higher as investors cheered the Federal Reserve’s statement that said a rate hike would come later rather than sooner.

The Dow added 227.11 points or 1.27%, the S&P 500 gained 25.14 points or 1.21%, and the Nasdaq gained 45.39 points or 0.92%

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 3/19/2015

4:30am EST: Switzerland – Libor Rate
4:30am EST: Switzerland – SNB Monetary Policy Assessment
4:30am EST: Switzerland – SNB Press Conference
Day 1: Euro-zone – EU Economic Summit
6:15am EST: Euro-zone – Targeted LTRO
8:30am EST: United States – Unemployment Claims
10:00am EST: United States – Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
10:10pm EST: Australia – RBA Gov Stevens Speaks

March Membership Special:  This Month Get 25% Off Nial Fuller's Forex Course, Daily Trade Setups Video Newsletter, Live Trading Forum & Support Line, Ends March 31st - Join Here.
nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

Previous Posts

GBPJPY and Gold Potential Selling Opportunities, 17th March 2015

Posted on March 18th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
GBPJPY and Gold Potential Selling Opportunities, 17th March 2015
Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: GBPJPY – Sterling/yen loses ground, looking to sell on a retrace The GBPJPY has fallen lower in recent days, after breaking down past 181.50, which was support. If price rallies higher in the coming days, back up to around 181.00 – 181.50 (now resistance),... Continue Reading

Weekly Forex Trade Setups Preview – March 16th – 20th 2015

Posted on March 16th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Weekly Forex Trade Setups Preview – March 16th – 20th 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here EURUSD - Euro/Dollar continues to get battered The EURUSD downtrend is showing no signs of slowing down. At this point, we wouldn't be surprised to see it reach parity in the coming months. We... Continue Reading

GBPUSD Continues to Lose Ground, 12th March 2015

Posted on March 13th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
GBPUSD Continues to Lose Ground, 12th March 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar continues to lose ground The GBPUSD fell lower today after trying to push higher early in the session but reversing as it hit... Continue Reading

EURUSD and AUDUSD Bearish Trends Continue, 11th March 2015

Posted on March 12th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
EURUSD and AUDUSD Bearish Trends Continue, 11th March 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: EURUSD - Euro/dollar continues to get hammered The EURUSD sold-off again today as the downtrend continues. We see any strength as a potential selling... Continue Reading

USDJPY Uptrend Continues, Pushes Above Key level, 10th March 2015

Posted on March 11th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
USDJPY Uptrend Continues, Pushes Above Key level, 10th March 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: USDJPY - Dollar/yen moves higher and hits key resistance The USDJPY moved higher today and exceeded the key resistance / target area up near 121.85 that we... Continue Reading

Weekly Forex Trade Setups Preview – March 9th – 13th 2015

Posted on March 9th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | 1 Comment
Weekly Forex Trade Setups Preview – March 9th – 13th 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Gold - Spot Gold sells off following bearish price action In our March 5th commentary, we talked about the strong potential for Gold to continue moving lower and eventually re-test key support... Continue Reading

Gold Could Move Lower In Coming Weeks, 5th March 2015

Posted on March 6th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Gold Could Move Lower In Coming Weeks, 5th March 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: Gold – Spot Gold weakens, more downside possible The spot Gold market reversed lower today after initially trying to push to the upside. This market is... Continue Reading

AUDUSD Holding Firm Above Support, Bullish Bias Intact, 3rd March 2015

Posted on March 4th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
AUDUSD Holding Firm Above Support, Bullish Bias Intact, 3rd March 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar holds firm above 0.7750 The AUDUSD held firm today as it re-tested support near 0.7750. Our bias and outlook remains the same on this... Continue Reading

USDJPY Moving Higher, Looking to Buy Pullback, 2nd March 2015

Posted on March 3rd, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | 1 Comment
USDJPY Moving Higher, Looking to Buy Pullback, 2nd March 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: USDJPY - Dollar/yen pushing higher The USDJPY has made a strong push higher recently and easily broke above the high of the bearish reversal bar from February... Continue Reading

Weekly Forex Trade Setups Preview – March 2nd – 6th 2015

Posted on March 2nd, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Weekly Forex Trade Setups Preview – March 2nd – 6th 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here EURUSD - Euro/dollar breaks down through trading range support The EURUSD broke and closed below 1.1280 support last week, finally breaking free from its recent trading range between 1.1280 -... Continue Reading

EURUSD Falls as Bears Regain Control, 26th February 2015

Posted on February 27th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
EURUSD Falls as Bears Regain Control, 26th February 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: EURUSD – Euro/dollar breaks lower The EURUSD broke lower today, down through 1.1280 support and has now ‘shown its hand’. We see 1.1400 – 1.1450 as the... Continue Reading

AUDUSD Buy Signals Suggest Imminent Move to 0.8030, 24th February 2015

Posted on February 25th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
AUDUSD Buy Signals Suggest Imminent Move to 0.8030, 24th February 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar reverses after dipping under support The AUDUSD remained buoyant today as it reversed early-session losses and formed a bullish pin... Continue Reading

Weekly Forex Trade Setups Preview – February 23rd – 27th 2015

Posted on February 23rd, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Weekly Forex Trade Setups Preview – February 23rd – 27th 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here AUDUSD - Aussie / dollar grinding higher The AUDUSD strengthened on Friday as price continues to grind slowly higher coming off the large pin bar buy signal from February 3rd and the bullish... Continue Reading

AUDUSD Remaining Buoyant After Pin Bar Buy Signal, 18th February 2015

Posted on February 19th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
AUDUSD Remaining Buoyant After Pin Bar Buy Signal, 18th February 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar remains buoyant The AUDUSD has remained buoyant recently, as we can see in the chart below. If you’re not already long from our... Continue Reading

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