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EURUSD False-break and S&P500 Surges Higher as Volatility Continues, 27th...

Posted on August 28th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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EURUSD – Euro/dollar back under key resistance

The EURUSD fell lower again today and held under 1.1400 / 35 key resistance again, making a false break to the upside earlier this week to look more ‘confirmed’ at this point. This market is a bit tricky right now, but if we keep holding under 1.1400 on a closing basis we can consider looking for price action sell signals in anticipation of price retracing back down to the trading range support near 1.0850 area.

eurusd

S&P500 – S&P500 surges higher as volatility continues

Today, the S&P500 surged higher again, ending up above 1970.00. Price has obviously recovered quite aggressively off the lows down near 1830.00 from Monday, and we could see more upside movement. There’s another resistance up near 2033.00 that could cause price to rotate lower and we still see plenty of volatility out there. So, be patient and wait for obvious price action signals from key levels. At this point, we could still consider a sell signal on the daily chart from a resistance level, but we are more bullish at this point following the strong recovery off the lows and we would prefer to see a buy signal on the 4 hour or daily chart after a rotation lower in the coming days.

sp500

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is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

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Market Crash Equals Big Trading Opportunities – 24th August 2015

Posted on August 25th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Stock market data with downtrend vector. 3d render.

In recent times we have witnessed relentless volatility across global stock and currency markets. As traders, we love this volatility and as these kinds of moves only happen once a year or so, we should be actively monitoring the market for trading opportunities.

As we always say when these big moves happen; a lot of people will undoubtedly be annoyed that they missed some of these moves. As is always the case, traders are often spectators to some of the biggest moves, rather than participants. However, after being in the market for almost 14 years, the one thing that I’ve learned is that the big money is made following momentum, and in saying that, those ‘heroes’ out there who try to pick the tops and bottoms of bull and bear markets usually get burned.

Whilst it’s tempting to look at some of these big moves in currency markets and the giant sell-off in stock indices and want to try and pick the turning point for when they will snap-back in the opposite direction, it’s important as price action traders that we wait for the same chart evidence and price patterns that we normally trade with to present themselves on the charts and provide us with some ‘confirmation’ that the top or bottom may actually be in place.

Don’t get me wrong, there will be opportunities on both sides of the market, just try and be patient and don’t be afraid to jump in and ride the momentum, because as we all know, markets often go much further than we think they will, especially during high-volatility correction periods like we are seeing now. We do sense that some of these moves are close to their exhaustion point and a snap-back is likely soon, however we much prefer to see strong price action signals on the 1 hour, 4 hour and daily chart, ideally from key chart levels before taking any action.

Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

S&P500 – S&P sells-off hard but key support approaching

The S&P500 continued selling off today in dramatic fashion, losing significant ground already this week. It’s been one-way traffic since we broke through 2033.00, followed by a slice down through 1970.00 support, and now we may see this market exhausting itself into key support down near 1812.00. Price may produce a false break of that support at 1812.00 before snapping back higher.

There will likely be a very large price action clue or couple of clues on the intraday charts soon and you will want to wait for something really obvious to form before jumping in long (an obvious price action buy signal at key support level).

We also need to be mindful that price may produce another selling opportunity, although the nearest resistance is up near 1970.00 and it could be some time before we reach that level, but we will keep our eyes open for selling opportunities as well, if the market re-tests that level in the coming days.

sp500d

EURUSD – Euro/dollar reclaims 1.1400 level

The EURUSD surged up above 1.1400 / 35 key resistance today, closing well above it. We can see now that the EURUSD is looking very bullish and the short-term trend at least, has turned higher. A lot of people never expected the euro to change trend any time soon, but we’ve been talking about the euro / dollar basing out for a number of months at 1.0800 – 1.0900 support and if you look at the weekly chart it has been winding up for some time now and it finally has cleared 1.1435 resistance. The play now looks to be buying weakness to trade in-line with the bullish momentum. Think about this: if everyone was short the EURUSD, when people have to exit their shorts it’s only going to amplify the upside movement as all those people have to exit their positions and to cover their shorts.

eurusd

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is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

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Weekly Forex Commentary & Trade Ideas – August 24th – 28th, 2015

Posted on August 24th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar potential for further upside

The GBPUSD formed a bullish fakey pin bar signal last week, in-line with our recent bullish views on this market. This fakey is a potential buying opportunity for those of you not already long, we expect to see this market continue higher in the coming days and the next key resistance is up around 1.5930; a tentative target area for those long.

For updates & trade ideas on this market throughout the week, check our members daily newsletter.

gbpusd

EURUSD – Euro/dollar surges higher but approaching key resistance

The EURUSD surged significantly higher last week and we can see by the weekly chart below that price is approaching a key resistance level up near 1.1435. We prefer to wait and see what price does near that key resistance this week before making any decisions. If we get a strong daily chart sell signal near 1.1400 / 35, we will consider selling, but only on an obvious sell signal. Otherwise, we will watch for a retrace lower and then look to get long in-line with the fresh bullish momentum in this market.

For updates & trade ideas on this market throughout the week, check our members daily newsletter.

eurusd

USDJPY – Dollar/yen bears flood in

The USDJPY sold-off last week, closing well below 123.00 support on Friday. We are taking a more bearish stance on this market, at least for this week, and we will watch resistance for price action sell signals following a retrace higher. Note that key support is down near 120.40 and that can be viewed as a potential target area for shorts.

For updates & trade ideas on this market throughout the week, check our members daily newsletter.

usdjpy

AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar grinding lower

The AUDUSD has been slowly falling lower over the last 7 days following the large bullish reversal bar that formed back on August 12th. As long as price stays above support at 0.7215 – 0.7235 there’s potential for upside movement, but if we fall under that support it will open the door for further downside in this pair.

For updates & trade ideas on this market throughout the week, check our members daily newsletter.

audusd

XAUUSD Gold surges higher

Gold surged through the 1150.00 level last week and closed above it. With such a strong move we are no longer looking for selling opportunities here, not unless we get a very strong and obvious price action sell signal on the daily chart at near current levels. We are neutral right now and plan to monitor this market for additional clues.

For updates & trade ideas on this market throughout the week, check our members daily newsletter.

gold

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Special Note: Until August 31st, Get 25% Off Life-Time Membership To Nial Fuller's Forex Trading Courses, Daily Trade Setups Newsletter, Live Trading Forum & Support Line - Learn More Here.
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About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

Axitrader

GBPUSD Fakey Buy Signal, S&P500 Gets Crushed, 20th August 2015

Posted on August 21st, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here

Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar fakey pin bar buy setup

The GBPUSD formed a bullish fakey pin bar buy signal today, in-line with our recent bullish views on this market. This fakey is a potential buying opportunity for those of you not already long, we expect to see this market continue higher in the coming days and the next key resistance is up around 1.5930; a tentative target area for those long.

gbpusd

S&P500 – S&P500 melts down

Today, the S&P500 obviously melted down, posting a huge loss. This huge move changes the picture and our views in the near-term; we are not bullish anymore following the strong close below the low of the pin bar from August 12th as well as the key support level down near 2033.00. At this point, we will monitor this market and will consider selling on a price action sell signal following a rally back up to resistance, which has now become that old support zone between 2060.00 – 2070.00 area.

sp500

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nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

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GBPUSD Buying Opportunity, Hong Kong Index Sells Off, 18th August 2015

Posted on August 19th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
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Trading Setups / Chart in Focus:

HSI – Hong Kong Index sells off from pin bar signal

Back in our July 29th commentary, we discussed a pin bar sell signal that formed in the Hong Kong Index, and we can since then there have been multiple opportunities to get short. This trade has worked out nicely and if you held it through the few ‘shake outs’ that occurred, you made some nice money. This trade was a perfect example of my ‘set and forget ’ approach and the benefits of holding your trades longer, if you’d like to learn more about this trading technique, check out my professional trading course for more. I truly hope you’ve learned something from this trade; it’s absolute proof that holding your trades longer is profitable, this trade took 3 weeks to get to this point, but this is where the big money is at and it’s how hedge funds trade.

hsi

GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar continues to look bullish

The GBPUSD rallied today after yesterday’s brief rotation lower. We have been calling the GBPUSD long on pullbacks for a number of weeks now and we are still very bullish on this market. If you’re not already long, you can continue to look to be a buyer on any weakness whilst price is above that key support zone down between 1.5535 – 1.5465. We see the potential for price to break up and move higher in the coming weeks and re-test the highs up near 1.5920 area.

gbpusd

Note: If you don’t have access to the Hong Kong Index on your trading platform, you can access it on our preferred platform here.

Go VIP and get our daily trade setups video newsletter – Members get our Daily Video Newsletter containing Professional Trade Setups Ideas and Analysis on Major Currency Pairs, Stock Indices, Gold, Oil, CFD’s, Commodities & More. To learn more about becoming a member click here.

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Special Note: Until August 31st, Get 25% Off Life-Time Membership To Nial Fuller's Forex Trading Courses, Daily Trade Setups Newsletter, Live Trading Forum & Support Line - Learn More Here.
nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

Axitrader

Weekly Forex Commentary & Trade Ideas – August 17th to 21st, 2015

Posted on August 17th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Special Note: Until August 31st, Get 25% Off Life-Time Membership To Nial Fuller's Forex Trading Courses, Daily Trade Setups Newsletter, Live Trading Forum & Support Line - Learn More Here.

Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here

EURUSD -Euro/dollar strengthens, potential for more upside remains

After the recent injection of bullish momentum into the EURUSD, we are taking a mildly bullish bias on this pair. We see a key support area down near 1.1000 and we can look to buy on a daily or 4 hour chart price action buy signal whilst above that support area. A move and close above resistance at 1.1200 could see short-covering and momentum take price up to 1.1400. We may see a sell signal under 1.1400 which is a major containment area, that would be something to consider as well.

For updates and trade ideas on this market throughout the week, check our members daily newsletter.

eurusd

GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar remains buoyant

We are still favoring the upside in the GBPUSD and we will continue to wait for a buy signal to get long. Note the key support zone down between 1.5535 – 1.5465 area, we can watch for a buy signal there this week or a possible bullish fakey signal to form from the current daily chart inside bar. Don’t expect huge movement but buying the dips has been working and remains the strategy of choice ahead of a potential breakout above the resistance at 1.5660.

For updates and trade ideas on this market throughout the week, check our members daily newsletter.

gbpusd

S&P500 – Pin bar buy signal still in play

Our views haven’t changed since we discussed the pin bar signal in the S&P500 in our August 12th commentary; we are still looking to buy. We didn’t get much of a retrace on Friday but it looks very bullish above the support zone at 2070.00 – 2060.00 and any dips are buying opportunities, ideally on a retrace around the halfway point of the large bullish pin bar from August 12th. We see the potential for price to move up to 2105.00 whilst above that key support zone.

For updates and trade ideas on this market throughout the week, check our members daily newsletter.

sp500

USDJPY – Dollar/yen bullish trend intact, looking for buy signal

We are waiting for solid evidence for a long entry in the USDJPY. Note that price is down near value and will likely show its hand early this week. Note the inside bars late last week; we could see initial false break and fakey form from these inside bars for a buy signal, watch the daily and 4 hour chart for obvious signals.

For updates and trade ideas on this market throughout the week, check our members daily newsletter.

usdjpy

GBPJPY – Sterling/yen inside bars potential to breakout

We remains bullish biased on the GBPJPY and we can see price has been holding its own among its yen peers recently. Notice the inside bars from Friday; there are two ways to play it here, we can look to get in on any pullbacks in anticipation of a breakout higher, or we can wait for a fakey buy signal on the daily or 4 hour chart after Friday’s inside bars. Let’s also note that the bullish pin bars from last week on the 4 hour chart are still in play. If we break clear to the upside above the nearby resistance, we see potential for price to test the recent highs near 195.87 or potentially higher.

For updates and trade ideas on this market throughout the week, check our members daily newsletter.

gbpjpy

Gold – Gold above support but downside risks remain

In Gold, we are looking for price to head up into the resistance zone between 1140.00 – 1150.00 and form a solid sell signal on the daily, 4 hour or 1 hour chart, as the overall bearish trend remains intact. For active traders, the key chart level this week is 1105.00; above that and we can drift mildly higher, but below that there is massive downside risk again.

For updates and trade ideas on this market throughout the week, check our members daily newsletter.

gold

Go VIP and get our daily trade setups video newsletter – Members get our Daily Video Newsletter containing Professional Trade Setups Ideas and Analysis on Major Currency Pairs, Stock Indices, Gold, Oil, CFD’s, Commodities & More. To learn more about becoming a member click here.

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Special Note: Until August 31st, Get 25% Off Life-Time Membership To Nial Fuller's Forex Trading Courses, Daily Trade Setups Newsletter, Live Trading Forum & Support Line - Learn More Here.
nialfuller

About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial’s Forex Course here.

Axitrader

Previous Posts

S&P500 Pin Bar Buy Signal, Gold Strengthens, Hong Kong Index Sells-Off,...

Posted on August 13th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
S&P500 Pin Bar Buy Signal, Gold Strengthens, Hong Kong Index Sells-Off, 12th August 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: S&P500 –SP500 long-tailed pin bar buy signal As per our recent comments on this market, we’ve been looking to play both sides (long and short) and... Continue Reading

USDJPY Bullish Run Continues, Hong Kong Index Remains Weak, 11th August 2015

Posted on August 12th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
USDJPY Bullish Run Continues, Hong Kong Index Remains Weak, 11th August 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: USDJPY - Dollar/yen uptrend continues As per our feelings in recent USDJPY commentaries, we remain very bullish on this currency pair and pullbacks remain an... Continue Reading

Weekly Forex Commentary & Trade Ideas – August 10th to 14th, 2015

Posted on August 10th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Weekly Forex Commentary & Trade Ideas – August 10th to 14th, 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here EURUSD - Euro/dollar reverses at week's low We saw a bullish reversal up off the lows late last week in the EURUSD, and that could lead to a further rotation higher early this week. Overall, we... Continue Reading

Looking For a Sell Signal on Crude Oil – 6th August 2015

Posted on August 7th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Looking For a Sell Signal on Crude Oil – 6th August 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: Crude Oil - Crude Oil downtrend continues Crude Oil continues to trend lower and we are still very bearish on this market and looking to sell on strength.... Continue Reading

EURUSD Lower After Pin Bar Sell Signal, Hong Kong Index Update, 4th August 2015

Posted on August 5th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
EURUSD Lower After Pin Bar Sell Signal, Hong Kong Index Update, 4th August 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: EURUSD - Euro/dollar falls from pin bar signal The EURUSD fell lower today as price sold-off from the bearish pin bar sell signal we have been discussing... Continue Reading

Weekly Forex Commentary & Trade Ideas – August 3rd to 7th, 2015

Posted on August 3rd, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Weekly Forex Commentary & Trade Ideas – August 3rd to 7th, 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here EURUSD - Euro/dollar reverses at resistance zone The EURUSD continues to remain under pressure below 1.1100 - 1.1200 resistance and we can see on Friday price rallied up to that resistance zone... Continue Reading

Hong Kong Index Selling Opportunity, GBPUSD Update, 29th July 2015

Posted on July 30th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Hong Kong Index Selling Opportunity, GBPUSD Update, 29th July 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: HSI - Hong Kong Index sell signal The Hong Kong Index is in a longer-term downtrend but we can see in recent weeks price has rotated back up to value / key... Continue Reading

Buying the Dip on S&P500 Yields a Profit – 28th July 2015

Posted on July 29th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Buying the Dip on S&P500 Yields a Profit – 28th July 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here S&P500 - S&P500 rallies from key support zone after buy signal In our last few commentaries on the S&P500, the plan we gave was to wait for a price action buy signal from key support... Continue Reading

Weekly Forex Commentary & Trade Ideas – July 27th to 31st, 2015

Posted on July 27th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Weekly Forex Commentary & Trade Ideas – July 27th to 31st, 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here EURUSD - Waiting for sell signal in Euro/dollar  The EURUSD strengthened last week as it retraced higher within the downtrend it's currently in. We are still waiting for a price action sell... Continue Reading

Gold Gets Hammered Lower, GBPUSD Remains Buoyant, 22nd July 2015

Posted on July 23rd, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Gold Gets Hammered Lower, GBPUSD Remains Buoyant, 22nd July 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: Gold – Sell on strength As per our recent Gold commentaries, we’ve been bearish biased on Gold for quite a while now and we can see that on Monday of this... Continue Reading

S&P500 Index Buying Opportunity, EURUSD Selling Opportunity, 21st July 2015

Posted on July 22nd, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
S&P500 Index Buying Opportunity, EURUSD Selling Opportunity, 21st July 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: S&P500 – Buying opportunity at support As we discussed in our weekly forex commentary this week, we are looking to buy the S&P500 from support on a... Continue Reading

Weekly Forex Commentary & Trade Ideas – July 20th to 24th, 2015

Posted on July 20th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Weekly Forex Commentary & Trade Ideas – July 20th to 24th, 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here EURUSD - Euro/dollar bearish trend accelerates The EURUSD weakened significantly last week and we remain bearish on this market. We will look to be sellers on a retrace back up to value... Continue Reading

Gold Bearish Run Continues, Looking to Sell on Strength, 16th July 2015

Posted on July 17th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
Gold Bearish Run Continues, Looking to Sell on Strength, 16th July 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: Gold – Spot Gold bearish trend accelerates The spot Gold market fell lower again today and we can see it has weakened significantly in recent weeks... Continue Reading

USDJPY Bulls Regain Control, NZDUSD Downtrend Rolls On, 15th July 2015

Posted on July 16th, 2015 | by | in Forex Trading Commentary | No Comments
USDJPY Bulls Regain Control, NZDUSD Downtrend Rolls On, 15th July 2015
Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’ – Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: USDJPY - Dollar/yen bulls regain control The USDJPY has strengthened considerably since our last discussion, recovering aggressively off the lows from last... Continue Reading

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