Forex Trading Commentary

Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – September 1st – 5th 2014

Posted on September 1st, 2014 by in Forex Trading Commentary

Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – September 1st – 5th 2014

Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here.

EURUSD – Euro/dollar bearish trend rolls on

The EURUSD lost significant ground the last two months, as we can see in the monthly chart below. There are no signs that this recent bearish trend may be coming to an end any time soon, so we want to trade in-line with that trend in the days and weeks ahead. Traders should continue watching the daily and 4 hour chart for price action selling opportunities, ideally after a retrace back to resistance. Note, the key upcoming support levels as seen on the monthly chart below, near 1.2750 and further below near 1.2050, if this bearish trend continues we wouldn’t be surprised to see price test these key chart levels in the coming weeks and months.

eurusd

AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar stays contained under resistance

In our August 28th commentary, we discussed the potential for a blind entry up near 0.9374 key near-term resistance that was offered last week as price ran into that level. This week, if the AUDUSD stays contained under 0.9374 – 0.9400 resistance on a daily closing basis, we could see price fall lower.

audusd

USDCAD – Dollar/cad fakey-pin bar buy signal

The USDCAD completed a 50% retrace of its last major up move last week, ending the week by forming a bullish fakey pin bar combo buy signal that shows rejection of that 50% retrace level as well as a support level near 1.0820 area. If price holds above that 1.0820 – 1.0810 support this week, we could see a move higher from this fakey / pin bar buy signal and a resumption of the recent up trend. Traders could consider a ‘tweaked retrace entry‘ if price rotates down to about the 50% level of Friday’s pin bar.

usdcad

Gold – Spot Gold downtrend intact

In our recent Gold commentaries, we’ve talked about the potential for price to continue moving lower, following the pin bar sell signal that we discussed back in our August 11th commentary. Last week, we saw price retrace modestly higher but it backed off its highs late in the week and formed an inside bar on Friday. If price breaks down from this inside bar this week, we could see another leg to the downside, with near-term support around $1270 and then key support further below near $1240.

gold

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Note: We Use ‘New York Close Charts’Get Our Preferred Charts & Trading Platform Here.

Fundamental Commentary & Upcoming Economic News

Upcoming important economic announcements (New York time): 8/31/2014

9:00pm EST: China – Manufacturing PMI
9:45pm EST: China – HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI

9/1/2014

4:30am EST: Britain – Manufacturing PMI
9:30pm EST: Australia – Building Approvals m/m

Nial Fuller

About Nial Fuller

Nial Fuller is a Professional Trader, Mentor & Author who is considered 'The Authority' on Price Action Trading. Read More

Nial Fuller's Forex Course
AUDUSD Falls From Key Resistance, EURUSD Bearish Trend Continues, 29th August 2014
AUDUSD Hits Key Resistance, Gold Update, 28th August 2014
Gold Pin Bar Sell Signal Update, EURUSD Downtrend Intact, 27th August 2014
Gold Forms Bearish Pin Bar after Retrace Higher, 26th August 2014
Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – August 25th – 29th, 2014
AUDUSD Heading Toward Resistance, USDJPY Still Strong, 22nd August 2014
Gold Weakens Further, AUDUSD Update, 21st August 2014
AUDUSD Falls from Fakey, Gold Update, 20th August 2014
EURUSD Continues Falling, AUDUSD Fakey Signal, S&P 500 Update, 19th August 2014
Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – August 18th – 22nd, 2014
Gold Pin Bar Sell Signal Trade Update, 15th August 2014
EURUSD Bearish Tailed Bars Could See Lower Prices, 14th August 2014
AUDUSD Approaching Key Resistance, GBPJPY Falls, 13th August 2014
Gold Moves Into Sell Zone, Forms Another Pin Bar, 12th August 2014
Gold Pin Bar Sell Signal, GBPUSD Potential Buy Near 1.6700 – 11th August 2014
Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – August 11th – 15th, 2014
S & P 500 Index Potential Buying Opportunity Off Key Support Level
AUDUSD Fails at Key Level, More Weakness Possible, 5th August 2014
Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – August 4th – 8th, 2014
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