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Nial Fuller

NIAL FULLER
Professional Trader, Author & Trading Coach

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By in Forex Trading Strategies on | 20 Comments

ForexAnalysisTechnical analysis is the study of the price movement or price action of a market over time. Traders make use of price charts and various technical indicators that come with those charts to perform their technical analysis.

However, it is my strong belief that traders need only analyze a market’s price action for their technical analysis. Not only is the price action on a chart the purest and cleanest view of that market, but all indicators and other technical analysis studies are based on price action anyways. So, it should go without saying that when we analyze a chart’s price action without added indicators, we are analyzing the most pertinent and clearest view of that market. Anything else is simply a derivative of price action and only works to add unnecessary variables that a trader must make sense out of.

Technical analysis is perhaps the simplest and ‘easiest’ aspect of trading, and likely due to that, it’s very common for traders to over-complicate it by covering their charts in unnecessary indicators. Essentially, all you are doing when you add indicators on top of price action is hiding the main thing you should be analyzing; the price data.

Technical analysis and price action go hand-in-hand

Many professional traders focus on price action as their primary form of technical analysis. They do this because they know that price is the ultimate leading indicator of what price might do next.

How many times have you seen a market move the opposite direction that you expected after a certain economic news release came out? They’re very likely were strong price action clues leading up to that news release of what price was most likely to do. Price often leads the news and foreshadows fundamentals and any news results and fundamentals are reflected in the price action. This is why many traders only use technical analysis and many, including myself, are ‘pure’ technical traders, meaning we primarily use only price action to make our trading decisions.

There are many reasons why price action tends to lead the news and other market fundamentals; big market players like banks and hedge funds who really can move the market have access to information and tools that retail traders like you and I do not. We can read what they are doing in the market by learning to trade based on the price action imprint they leave behind on the charts. We don’t really need to know all the ‘whys’ or ‘how’s’; all we need to know is WHAT they are doing, and we can see that by analyzing the price action.

Price action allows us to find repeatable patterns, place trades, manage risk and profit objectives in a very straight-forward and logical way. By simply making use of support and resistance levels and the natural price data on a chart, we can analyze and trade a market successfully if we know what we are doing.

Here are some famous quotes from legendary traders on technical analysis vs. fundamental analysis:

As Ed Seykota famously said in Jack Schwager’s Market Wizards book:

Fundamentals that you read about are typically useless as the market has already discounted the price, and I call them “funny-mentals.

I am primarily a trend trader with touches of hunches based on about twenty years of experience. In order of importance to me are: (1) the long-term trend, (2) the current chart pattern, and (3) picking a good spot to buy or sell. Those are the three primary component of my trading. Way down in a very distant fourth place are my fundamental ideas and, quite likely, on balance, they have cost me money.

Another Market Wizard, Marty Schwartz, said:

I always laugh at people who say, “I’ve never met a rich technician.” I love that! It’s such an arrogant, nonsensical response. I used fundamentals for nine years and got rich as a technician. – Marty Schwartz

How to use price action for your technical analysis…

Price action analysis teaches a trader how to analyze the market structure; find trends, support and resistance levels and generally learn to ‘read’ the ebbs and flows of a market. There is obviously discretion involved here and I will be the first person to tell you that technical analysis is more of an art than a science. However, it is something you will get more comfortable with and improve at given education, time and practice.

Let’s take a look at some examples of classic technical analysis price action patterns

In the chart example below, you will notice how well price is respecting the horizontal support and resistance levels. Learning to draw and trade the key chart levels is a very important skill that any technical analyst needs to learn early-on in their trading career. This is also a core aspect of price action trading as price action is what ‘carves out’ the levels in the market…

supportandresistance

Here we can see the huge moves that often originate from major market tops and bottoms. The chart below is showing a “double bottom”, which is just a general name for price testing a level two times and then bouncing from it. You will then see a “triple top”, a general name for a market that tests a resistance level three times before selling-off. Generally, these patterns are strong indicators of a trend change…

topsandbottoms

In the chart image below, we can see a couple of false breakout patterns that occurred in the GBPUSD recently. When we get a false-break to the downside that sucks all the bears in before shooting higher, it’s called a ‘bear trap’. When we get a false-break to the upside that sucks all the bulls in before reversing lower, it’s called a ‘bull trap’. Look for these especially in range-bound markets where price is oscillating between key support and resistance levels, as we see below:

bullandbeartraps

When we combine price action signals at key chart levels, as with the pin bar false-break at resistance we see below, or with a strong trend, as with the inside bar pattern we see below, we have a very simple yet high-probability trade method at our disposal:

pasignals

As we can see by the chart examples above, price action is a very simple yet highly effective form of technical analysis. As I like to tell my students, the power lies IN the simplicity. Trading is hard enough as it is, so there is no need to unnecessarily make it even more difficult by plastering tons of confusing indicators all over your charts. We have everything we need in the raw price data of the charts.

Price action analysis allows us to spot high probability trading opportunities, easily define our risk reward and perform our analysis end-of-day. This form of technical analysis frees the mind of clutter and allows us to focus on reading the charts and price action simply by listening to the ‘language’ of the market. Price action is first-hand market data, not looking in the ‘review mirror’ as with most other methods of technical analysis.

Learn To Trade The Market courses are centered around the core philosophies discussed in today’s lesson and focus on the power of technical price action trading. Any serious trader would benefit from undertaking study of these teachings which are the encompassing beliefs of my 16 + years in the market. To learn more, click here.

MEMBERSHIP SPECIAL: Until August 31st, Save 30% Off Life-Time Membership To Nial Fuller's Pro Trading Courses, Daily Trade Setups Newsletter & VIP Members Community - Click Here.
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About Nial Fuller

is a Professional Trader & Author who is considered ‘The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. He has a monthly readership of 250,000+ traders and has taught 15,000+ students since 2008. Checkout Nial's Professional Forex Course here.
  1. Nazarry January 12, 2017 at 5:02 am

    Hi Nial..i thought as a technical trader our deep believe is that market (price) action discounts (reflect) everything..which means that behind the price movement (action) it is the news about the fundamental that is reflecting it by nature..means that the market (movement) is just the reflection of the latest fundamental that is happening to the company or forex movement.

    Thanks.

    Reply
  2. Azeez January 8, 2017 at 4:54 am

    Thank you Mr Fuller. Your articles are clear and very helpful. Great. You are making people rich without counting. That’s greatness

    Reply
  3. KRISTOFA OKENTA December 15, 2016 at 3:27 pm

    Great Lesson

    Reply
  4. Thabo September 6, 2016 at 4:37 am

    Great lesson as as always

    Reply
  5. Enofe Friday August 23, 2016 at 3:01 am

    Nial, thank you for the article you send periodically. If I understand you clearly, you said your style of trading is excluding Fundy, indicator and lower time frame.

    Reply
  6. Kunle August 22, 2016 at 6:22 am

    Always on point. Thank you Nial

    Reply
  7. Charles August 20, 2016 at 11:51 am

    I love PA and all your articles. Thanks. I’ve read your Price Action Trading Course and other 40 articles. I think everything you wrote or said is excellent. I love your trading style.

    Reply
  8. EKPOKIMI AGBEDE August 19, 2016 at 9:46 pm

    HI NIAL,

    I cannot thank you enough for the impact you have done to my trading career. thank you very much…your free information started everything and the advance course cleared everything and complete the work.

    in just less than 2months have made more than 50% of my deposit portfolio. thanks!!!

    Reply
  9. Nkosikhona sithole August 18, 2016 at 8:20 pm

    Wow Thanks Mr Nial ever since I followed your instructions I can see the future thank you

    Reply
  10. BARRIE STRONG August 18, 2016 at 7:03 pm

    Many thanks for your invaluable tutorials…you are doing us traders a great service.

    Reply
  11. Matt August 18, 2016 at 3:23 pm

    excellent article

    Reply
  12. Olatunde Ademola August 18, 2016 at 5:40 am

    Very lucidly explained as usual. Thanks Nial and the entire team.

    Reply
  13. steve August 18, 2016 at 1:32 am

    Hi I think what you mean is you trade purely price action but avoid fundamentals such as nfp or brexit proportioned news.right?

    Reply
    • Nial Fuller August 18, 2016 at 9:14 am

      Steve, that is correct – we do not trade based on fundamentals or news / announcements.

      Reply
  14. sthembiso August 18, 2016 at 1:30 am

    Mr Fuller what you saying on this article it a confirmation of what I just achieved by using your price action I took a trade last week after I saw a pin bar on AUDCHF which I’ll say it was triple top I just took my good profit 1:4 reward a very decent $8000 you simple the best

    Reply
  15. peter miller August 18, 2016 at 1:03 am

    Another great lesson, something I have never had or liable to get from any other service. Nial and team you are worth your weight in gold and lets hope that is at least 1400 dollars soon.
    Thank you
    Peter Miller

    Reply
  16. Dan August 17, 2016 at 9:35 pm

    Nial
    Before I ask I am fully aware your a pure price action trader, so here is my question in case there is some thing else
    .
    What do you wait for to signal a market top ?
    You mentioned triple top pattern any other patterns or candle types on higher TF’s ?
    Do you add anything fundamental eg advance/decline or volume in conjunction with candles.
    Thanks

    Reply
    • Nial Fuller August 17, 2016 at 9:42 pm

      Dan, we are pure price action traders and do not combine news or fundamental data into our trading decisions. We use price bar analysis and traditional technical analysis such as support / resistance levels and trend analysis.

      Reply
  17. michael August 17, 2016 at 8:46 pm

    nice one mentor

    Reply
  18. Joseph August 17, 2016 at 8:35 pm

    Great lesson I love price action

    Reply

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