Trading 50% Retracements with Price Action Confirmation

This is one of the most powerful price action trading strategies you will ever learn, it’s one of my favorite patterns.  You need to learn this, and apply it. Enjoy the lesson

This is a quality article explaining the 50% fib retracement when used in conjunction with a price action reversal conformation, ideally a pin bar setup or fakey bar reversal setup. Remember to Comment Below.

For the record, I am only a fan of trading the 50% retracement off a swing on the daily forex charts, as long as there is a price action signal to confirm its validity I will consider it. My trading is all about confluence and finding evidence to support the price signals on the charts. I may also add that I trade the major currency pairs where this has a higher probability of success, given the major pairs are widely followed and many setups are straight forward and simple.

The process of trading the 50% retracement is simple, below is one example of a recent trade on AUDUSD pair.

1. When you have a price action signal present on the daily chart, you then match up the fib 50% retracement level if there is one present (see chart example below), if the price action candlestick signal matches up with the 50% swing retracement level then your good to go and potentially have a valid trade. If you can also find a relevant horizontal level to match up here, its a double whammy of confluence (a reason to get excited).

1268053946-clip-11kb

2. After finding the potential trade signal, decide to enter at market prices, or wait for a pull back to get your stop loss tighter to reduce overall risk. In the chart example below, given the perfection of the setup, as prices started to move up in the correct directon, a long entry could have been taken, momentum in the correct direction is always a good sign.

3. These setups are rare, but still something to look for in your daily chart time frames. I personally feel that when a trader looks for the price action signal first, then matches up the supporting factors they tend to make better trades. What I am saying here is this… if you see a giant signal on the daily chart, find out what other factors are back it up and showing supportive evidence, we wont always be able to trade a signal, mainly because we prefer not to fight the natural trend of the market, and many times we see signals forming against the trend.

4. The 50% swing retracement line and price action signal both came together at one common point and showed us a nice setup here, but what you should really take away from this example is that it was in line with the general thrust of the market, notice that prior to the pull back, we saw a nice rally up, and the pull back did not exceed the 50% area , rather it rejected it strongly and has now bounced aggressively higher to the new recent highs.

Another nice recent example on AUDJPY

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I truly hope this article clears some confusion about Fibonacci levels, personally I only get a handful of these setups every month on the daily charts, but when you see these swing retracements inside general trend movement, its wise to mark them on your charts and then look for some confirmation.

Nial Fuller is considered a leading ‘Authority’ on Price Action Forex trading strategies. If you want to learn more about harnessing the power and simplicity of Price Action Trading Strategies please visit Nial Fuller’s Forex Trading Course & Traders Community Page Here. Nial’s Students get lifetime access to all of his advanced price action Forex Courses, video lessons, webinar tutorials, daily trade setups newsletter, live trade setups discussion forum, traders support line & free ongoing course updates. For more information visit the Forex Course page here.

May Special Promotion - This month I’m offering a Special Discount on Lifetime membership to my Forex Course, Live Trade Setups Forum, Daily Trade Setups Newsletter, Email support line, and more. For more info visit the Forex Course Page Here.

Copyright – Learn To Trade The Market Author Nial Fuller

T Allen said,

March 9, 2010 @ 12:06 am

Nial – you always do a good job putting things in a nutshell. Thanks for this great article.

Sherry S said,

March 9, 2010 @ 12:35 am

This trade is very well laid and easy to understand. Thank you!

Cliff said,

March 9, 2010 @ 12:38 am

Nial,
Super example…appreciate your continued efforts helping the Forex trading public…
Thanks much.

Giles Coghlan said,

March 9, 2010 @ 1:08 am

Dear Nial,

Thanks a lot for this explanation – I had noticed the pin bar on the AUD/JPY that you highlighted on your Trade Setups Blog…I had had the support marked through the 79 region as one area of confluence, but I hadn’t realised that it was a 50% retracement zone as well (a second area of confluence) – I need to pay more attention obviously! ;-)

Very useful tips here Nial and the explanation is crystal! You are helping me to see the markets in such a simple way – Thanks again !

chinedu ilobinso said,

March 9, 2010 @ 1:08 am

i like this trade setups because it carries a high probability. in addition, i have noticed that such reversals occur after price bangs to round numbers( 50 and 00 endings as in 1.0050 and 1.0000 or quarter numbers( eg 25 and 75 endings as in 1.0025 or 1.0075).
thanks nial for the post because you are one of the few that teach how to trade the right way.

Yoenes said,

March 9, 2010 @ 1:30 am

Hello nail

Thank you for all this stof you have the most of the time small text but i tell us much to much thanks for every thing.
And the videos are great .

thanks again.

Greet you ,

Yoenes from the netherlands

Ali said,

March 9, 2010 @ 1:51 am

Dear Nial,
Hi,
Yes I have got 166pips on AUDJPY with that retrenchment 50%.
it was very nice signal.
What do you think, does this pairs (AudJPY and AUDUSD)get 138.2 level of Fib?
Hope to get such signal in near future.

thanks

Henrik said,

March 9, 2010 @ 2:04 am

Dear Neal, Thank you very much!

jim mccloud said,

March 9, 2010 @ 2:09 am

I am fascinated by the way price action works. I need a good instructor. I need to have some success in my trading career……………Jim

DR. D said,

March 9, 2010 @ 2:17 am

Great Nial,
This is really good stuff!

DR

Henry said,

March 9, 2010 @ 2:41 am

Hi Nial
Thanx for this example. Nicely explained. Well done.

TomK said,

March 9, 2010 @ 3:11 am

Hi Nial

I’m really knuckling down to practicing and trading the way you instruct on the 4H and daily time frames, I going to be moving away from the lower time frames. Less pressure, less time consuming and easy to understand, that’s how trading should be.

Always look forward to your teaching lessons and web updates.

Best regards

Tom

Larry said,

March 9, 2010 @ 3:21 am

Thanks Nial for showing current examples.Keep them coming, so we can improve our trading.
Larry

Bob W said,

March 9, 2010 @ 3:57 am

Nial:

I enjoyed this tutorial. It was explained clearly and concisely so I can understand it and use going forward.

Well Done

Robby said,

March 9, 2010 @ 5:40 am

Fantastic Nial. Never thought of just the 50% fib your right a lot of traders look at this on the daily charts.Pretty much center point of the sell and buy zones also.

Barry said,

March 9, 2010 @ 7:26 am

Nice & simple, price action, Not a reproduction of Jackson Pollocks”Blue poles” painting, Good one, Niall, Thank you:-)

Eric C said,

March 9, 2010 @ 7:52 am

Thanks for this setup Nial. Yes you are right 50% fib is the best setup to use period as the major players always use the 50% fib and out of all the fib numbers has the highest probability of price reacting there. Good to know someone is thinking like the big players.

tom power said,

March 9, 2010 @ 10:31 am

certainly focuses some credence to this timeframe, one needs to respect it.

Enigma said,

March 9, 2010 @ 10:53 am

Signal with the TREND, Fifty percent retrace, Horizontal Support,PRICE ACTION – Pips Conquered – Thanks for the Advance Course Material – Conquering pips have become secondary to me after I read your course, Now, Whole scope is, Enjoying the trading with STRESS FREE method, Few pure Price action Trades and having more time for my self. Once again Thanks for the Advance course.

William Yamot said,

March 9, 2010 @ 2:18 pm

thanks for this article about fibs retracement.. It is always easy to make things simple like what you did.. because before i am confused about this retracement levels.. More poweR!!!!

makeni said,

March 9, 2010 @ 6:39 pm

Thanks, this is a powerful strategy. How come I have never noticed it at all? Well done, I deeply grateful for this eye opener strategy

azmi said,

March 9, 2010 @ 6:46 pm

Thank you for price action candles,it is very interesting and now I am practicing it.It is very clear to me.

Thank you

Chikezie Okoro said,

March 9, 2010 @ 9:15 pm

THANKS NAIL ARTICLE! Am really improving in this business industry through the knowledge I get from you.”You are God sent to new traders” Thanks again!.

dan cahill said,

March 10, 2010 @ 9:17 pm

This is a very special set up for me nial.. i use quite often on big 4 hr candles and look for rite candles with increase vol..
Very well explained.

dan cahill said,

March 11, 2010 @ 8:39 pm

This is so good.. just had to come back and read again.. It shouldnt be here for free..just got a cracker tday off a 4 hr mther candle..SPOT ON ..fr 75 points.

Carlos Pinon said,

March 12, 2010 @ 9:37 pm

Hi Nial,

Thanks a lot for sharing this another clear strategy, you’re a great help for us newbies here.

Carlos Pinon

Stepho said,

March 18, 2010 @ 11:32 pm

Hey Coach as always you keep showing great potential setup.
I will now start using this one into my trading plan.

Keep the good work mate.

Cheers !

haastrup said,

March 21, 2010 @ 4:13 pm

nial, you’re a great guy, i’m just receiving the mail thanks a lot it a nice one.

K. Raymond said,

March 30, 2010 @ 11:55 am

This is a great looking setup to minimize risk while increasing the probability that the trade will work out! Glad I found you Nial! :-)

adedayo said,

April 2, 2010 @ 10:56 am

God rewards you for helping others. Nice article as usuals-thanks

Shane said,

April 21, 2010 @ 1:22 am

Thanks for posting this technique. I hope will let you know how my trading goes..Shane

kttrader said,

April 29, 2010 @ 10:25 pm

best to found your wedsite,good strategy for us to use,thanks.

Dtrader said,

July 18, 2010 @ 4:01 am

Nial, I have just found your website and cannot wait to get stuck into all this free trading advice you have on your website. I love price action trading and have only recently realised how nice it is to trade without indicators.

Keep up the great work.

galen said,

July 31, 2010 @ 4:57 pm

Wow! Another arrow in my quiver. I wonder if this is brought out better on the daily chart or does 4 and 1 hour charts display 50% retracements equally so in the handful that occur throughout the month?

emmyclev said,

August 11, 2010 @ 11:10 am

great piece….. wud incorporate it to my trading tools.. Thanks a lot

rikus said,

September 16, 2010 @ 6:03 pm

Great, Nial. Thanks a lot.

Elie said,

October 17, 2010 @ 1:19 am

Great stuff Nial !!
Every article I read has tons of new info.

SAM . O said,

April 20, 2011 @ 8:52 pm

You are good thank you for making good me too GOD BLESS YOU.

Lucan said,

May 21, 2011 @ 10:51 pm

HI Nial
Its a great article and website.
I’ve been reading your articles over and over again just to understand what you’re saying and so that I don’t miss out anything.
For this type of 50% retracement setup, when do you start putting your order? right after the day of pin bar appear?
Thank you for your time.

nial said,

May 22, 2011 @ 1:13 pm

Hi Lucan, please email me for details on this.

Rupesh Bawa said,

August 30, 2011 @ 3:16 pm

Thanks for this artical.

pilly said,

August 31, 2011 @ 12:04 am

Hi Nial,

I have been reading our articles they are clear simple & easy to understand. Thanks

John said,

September 6, 2011 @ 4:00 am

Simple, effective & profitable – like it!

Juan G said,

September 6, 2011 @ 11:15 am

Dear Nial,

Your explanations are very refreshing and easy to understand. Your style only reinforces the idea that trading should be kept simple. Thanks again

chris said,

September 6, 2011 @ 2:31 pm

Hi Nial,

Great combo! pinbar on a 50% or 61% fibo retracement gives me an edge rather than to wait for the next candle to close, thank alot….

Muyen said,

September 7, 2011 @ 5:10 am

Hi thank you for the education I trade retracement too just as you said it’s a good set-up in a month it gives me over n300% profit though I lost half of it the following month because of lack of money management. so thank you this just confirm that the system is good.
Thanks again

Colin said,

September 15, 2011 @ 7:51 am

Thanks Nial that clears a lot of things up for me.I am a newbie, I forget to do the 50% fib. Great lesson

Senthil Nathan said,

September 16, 2011 @ 4:32 pm

Respected sir

it boost up my confident.

Thank you sir

KRISTOFA OKENTA said,

October 29, 2011 @ 7:09 pm

Dear Prof, You have given another good angle of elevation to our trading career. thanks again.

Ashwani said,

November 9, 2011 @ 4:38 am

Thanks Nial for these lovely simple examples

Mimi said,

February 8, 2012 @ 2:37 pm

Mister Nial Fuller, I only just became familiar with your work a couple weeks ago. This past weekend I read this article, and then yesterday three lovely setups appeared on the daily charts at the same time. I took all three and increased my account by over 41 percent. All of my money is off the table for these trades, but it will be interesting to see how much further they go. Thank you so very much!

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